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Money and Finance
AI Premium: Wage Gap in Russian Labour Market
Opinions
Economics
AI Premium: Wage Gap in Russian Labour Market
Ksenia Rozhkova ,  Sergey Roshchin ,  Yana Roshchina

Generative AI has become an important factor influencing employees’ incomes in Russia, with the AI wage premium averaging 13%. The maximum benefit goes to those who already have high incomes and high skills, which may contribute to the expansion of the wage gap.

Details Matter: How Skills Influence Economic Recovery
Opinions
Economics
Macroeconomics
Details Matter: How Skills Influence Economic Recovery
Alexandra Glazova

Macroeconomic forecasts often assume shock-induced unemployment is temporary and that employment and output recover. However, the reality may be far more complicated. The loss of skills and the mismatch that arises when workers switch industries may stall a recovery for years.

Vampires, Pirates, and Interstellar Trade: Why Economists Need Fictional Worlds
Opinions
Economics
Vampires, Pirates, and Interstellar Trade: Why Economists Need Fictional Worlds
Yulia Vymyatnina

The science of economics is not mere knowledge of the world but a way of knowing it. This is why fictional worlds may be legitimate areas of research which are sometimes more convenient than the real world.

Putting a Spanner in the Works: What Sludge Is and How It Impedes Optimal Decision-making
Economics
Putting a Spanner in the Works: What Sludge Is and How It Impedes Optimal Decision-making
Vlasta Demyanenko

Waiting to be put on a waiting list for a visa appointment, getting 18 doctors’ opinions for free surgery, or filling a 40-page form to receive a social benefit are frictions that behavioural economics calls sludge. They are emotionally draining and also hamper economic growth.

Risks of AI Adoption for Employment in Russia
Opinions
Economics
Risks of AI Adoption for Employment in Russia
Rostislav Kapeliushnikov

In Russia, around a third of the employed face a significant risk of being potentially affected by AI in their daily work. However, full automation, owing to the shift of all functions from humans to AI, threatens less than 1% of jobs.

‘Black Turkeys’: New Outlook on Measuring Severity of Financial Crises
Opinions
Finance
‘Black Turkeys’: New Outlook on Measuring Severity of Financial Crises
Alexander Abramov, Maria Chernova

Financial crises are associated with ‘black swans’, i.e. sudden market crashes. However, if a crisis is viewed as a peak-to-recovery period, the ‘swans’ become ‘turkeys’: routine and protracted events. They are almost unnoticeable but systemically chip away at investors’ wealth.

Principles and Instruments of Islamic Finance
Opinions
Finance
Principles and Instruments of Islamic Finance
Elmira Imamkulieva, Anastasia Soboleva

Unlike conventional finance, where profit is derived from interest on loans, Islamic finance works on a different logic: income only arises from real assets and shared risk. Over the past half-century, Islamic finance has grown into a global industry spanning 140 countries.

Labour, Land and Capital in the Digital Age: Adam Smith’s Ideas – 250 Years On
Opinions
Economics
Labour, Land and Capital in the Digital Age: Adam Smith’s Ideas – 250 Years On
Yaroslav Kuzminov, Ekaterina Kruchinskaya

The digital economy is transforming the classic factors of production Adam Smith described in The Wealth of Nations – the treatise that laid the foundation of economics. Two and a half centuries later, Smith’s ideas remain relevant, but new realities demand that we rethink them.

Price Gap: Why New Builds Cost More Than Resale Properties
Opinions
Economics
Macroeconomics
Price Gap: Why New Builds Cost More Than Resale Properties
Anna Litvinova, Yanina Roshchina, Olga Klachkova

The price differential between new builds and resale properties in Russia is driven by factors beyond macroeconomic conditions. What also matters is the housing market structure including the level of competition among developers and banks, and subsidised mortgage programmes.

Most popular
‘The Mystery of the Ruble Exchange Rate’: What Factors Influence the Russian Currency
‘The Mystery of the Ruble Exchange Rate’: What Factors Influence the Russian Currency
‘The World Is in a Phase of Geopolitical Recession’
‘The World Is in a Phase of Geopolitical Recession’
The Paradox of Russian Consumption
The Paradox of Russian Consumption
How Economists and Sociologists Learned to Understand Buyer Behaviour
How Economists and Sociologists Learned to Understand Buyer Behaviour
‘Structural Damage’: New Shocks and Central Bank Policy
‘Structural Damage’: New Shocks and Central Bank Policy
Behavioural Economics for Financial Literacy
Behavioural Economics for Financial Literacy
New issue of Russian Journal of Money and Finance

Researches of the Bank of Russia

Inflation expectations
New Dimension of the Inflation Expectations’ Anchoring: Dynamics and Determinants for Russia
Labour Market
The Labour Market: Details Matter
DSGE models
MARS: DSGE Model with Agent, Regional and Sectoral Heterogeneity
inflation expectations
QUIET: an Indicator of Inflation Expectations of Households in Russia and Its Regions Based on Search Engine Data
Regional inflation
Heterogeneity of the Fiscal Impulse Impact on Inflation in the Russian Regions
Productivity
Productivity and Efficiency Trends of Russian Firms in 2018–2023
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