One in five of Russian professionals with higher education and permanent employment are impoverished or low-income. According to the HSE, poverty among professionals, which seemed to be a thing of the past, is now returning, and the crisis may exacerbate it.
A central bank may have an information advantage enabling it to better forecast macroeconomic indicators and, hence, make decisions that are not expected by the market. This advantage may exist both in reality and solely in the form of the market’s belief in it.
With inflation expectations anchored, price spikes do not spread between market segments, and inflation returns to the target level. We have assessed that the expectations of Russian economists have been anchored since 2017, while those of households have not yet been anchored.
Transition to a low-carbon economy remains a priority for major countries including China despite the rises in commodity prices and the highest global inflation. For Russia, as its economy refocuses on Asian markets, the importance of the green transition still holds.
The index, developed by the Bank of Russia on the basis of surveys of enterprises, enables real-time assessment of the Russian economy and its sectors. It displays a high correlation with GDP, coming out in advance of it in terms of the timing of the publication of statistics.&nb...
International sanctions have sparked a fundamental transformation in the Russian labour market, which may result in large-scale underutilisation of accrued human capital, notes Rostislav Kapeliushnikov, Corresponding Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
The Fed waited too long to tighten the policy in its anti-inflation stand, believing the acceleration of prices to have been temporary. The biggest concern for markets now is whether the Fed could avoid another policy mistake with regards to over hiking interest rates.
Russian businesses have faced foreign counterparts’ refusal to continue cooperation, suspension of imported components and the rising cost of logistics. Companies are looking for alternative production and logistics chains, the Bank of Russia survey finds.
In March, the Russian economy entered a downturn phase triggered by the impact of all-out foreign trade and financial sanctions and restrictions. If they continue, the economy will lose some of its potential, and the recovery will be protracted.